New: Analyst Buys & Rep. Tim Moore Strategies

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New: Analyst Buys & Rep. Tim Moore Strategies

We have launched two new strategies this week, an Analyst Buys strategy & a Tim Moore strategy.

These strategies are not yet available for automated copytrading (although they will be soon), but in the meantime you can manually track their current holdings and returns.

Analyst Buys Strategy
The Analyst Buys Strategy uses Quiver’s proprietary Analyst Scoring method, which rates Wall Street Analysts based on the accuracy of their historical price targets. We use these scores to weight each analyst’s most recent forecasts, giving a stronger weight to analysts with historical success, and lower (or in some cases, negative) weights to analysts with poor historical accuracy.

We then take all forecasts made over the last year, and find the average weighted forecast for every ticker. We take the stocks with the top 100 scores, and then narrow it down to the top 10 largest by market cap (to avoid stocks with sparse analyst coverage). The strategy takes an equal-weighted position in those 10 companies, and rebalances on a monthly basis.

The portfolio is anchored in top tech and financial stocks like Nvidia, Oracle, and Broadcom, which have driven strong returns—Nvidia alone surged nearly 297%. Diversification across Microsoft, JPMorgan, and Honeywell adds balance, while a monthly rebalance keeps exposure fresh and focused.

The backtested performance of this strategy show an aggressive yet calculated approach: a 35% CAGR and a 23% one-year return are impressive, but the -26% max drawdown and 1.24 beta reveal higher volatility. The strategy shines when consensus trades work, but occasional losses in names like Salesforce and Adobe underline that analyst crowd sentiment is not infallible.

Tim Moore Strategy
The Tim Moore Strategy attempts to mirror the portfolio of stock holdings for Rep. Tim Moore (and his family) and is rebalanced when new trades or annual reports are reported.

This strategy skews heavily toward cyclical and industrial names, with concentrated bets in Harley-Davidson, Ford, and American Airlines delivering most of the portfolio’s exposure. These allocations highlight a tilt toward consumer discretionary and transportation plays, while selective holdings in healthcare (Centene, UnitedHealth), technology (Apple, Nvidia, Intel), and a tactical ETF (TZA) provide sector hedging and growth ballast.

Their backtest period is short, given that Moore only entered Congress in 2025, but the initial returns are compelling: a 74.4% CAGR since with a low -8.1% max drawdown points to explosive upside with surprisingly muted volatility. A robust Sharpe ratio of 2.23 and alpha of 0.13 suggest the strategy’s excess returns aren’t simply a product of leverage or beta, but of genuine stock selection skill.

Also in today’s edition:

• Political News & Congress Trading

• Open AI Releases Chat GPT-5

  -David Love

POLITICS
Congress Trades & News

Insights from our Congress Trading Dashboard

Several politicians & members of Congress have already made millions of dollars in the stock market in 2025:

Washington is staring down a possible government shutdown as funding negotiations hit a wall ahead of the September 30 deadline. Senate Democrats, led by Schumer, are holding firm on demands for more health care spending and the reversal of Medicaid cuts, while Republican leaders push for a short-term solution that rolls funding into January—setting up a high-stakes game of brinkmanship with huge implications for federal workers and markets.

Meanwhile, the White House’s $8.9 billion equity investment in Intel dominated economic headlines. Trump’s push for semiconductor independence triggered rare bipartisan praise—especially from progressives—as the administration used CHIPS Act funds to secure a nearly 10% stake. The deal lit a fire under Intel’s stock, but also sparked fresh debate over the limits of government intervention in the tech sector.

Political violence took center stage as the fatal shooting of conservative activist Charlie Kirk sent shockwaves through both parties, renewing urgent calls for increased event security and unity from national leaders. Authorities moved quickly, making an arrest and urging calm as the country processes another high-profile attack.

On Capitol Hill, the House advanced a massive $892B defense package that features both pay raises for military personnel and controversial culture-war provisions. The package, alongside looming shutdown risks, highlights the policy gridlock and partisanship shaping the fall session as lawmakers brace for a volatile season of disclosures and dealmaking.

In other news we have some Congress trades to cover this week:

• Rep John Boozman (R) purchased up to $15k of Orcale stock on 4/16/25. (ORCL) has now risen +127% cs an S&P 500 up +25.23%

• Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) bought up to $15K in Ichor Holdings. (ICHR) designs components for semiconductor capital equipment. This is the first time we have seen a politician buy the stock in over 8 years. She is up +16.11% vs an S&P 500 +0.78%.

• Rep. Cleo Fields (D) just filed on August 6th over a million dollars in stock purchases incuding a purchase in Opendoor Technologies which is up +77% today alone. Fields is up +225% since the purchase vs an S&P 500 up +4.60%

• Rep. Kelly Morrison made series of stock purchases on 8/19/25:

  • Bought up to $145K of Accenture stock . (ACN) is down -5.22% since the trade vs an S&P 500 up +2.89%

  • Bought up to $130K of Thermo Fisher Sciences stock. (TMO) is down -3.07% vs and S&P 500 up +2.89% since the trade.

  • She also made stock purchases in Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) & Verizon (VZ).

Fundraising:
We've received Q2 fundraising data for members of Congress. Here's who's fundraised the most & the % of individual donors contributions:

🔵 Senator Jon Ossoff (D) $10M (97%)
🔵 Senator Cory Booker (D) $9.69M (98%)
🔴 Senator Dan Sullivan (R) $6.15M (94%)
🔵 Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) $5.82M (99%)
🔵 Senator Bernie Sanders (D) $4.57M (100%)

NEWS
FTC Targets Google (GOOGL) and Amazon (AMZN) in New Ad Pricing Investigation

The Federal Trade Commission has opened probes into the advertising practices of Google (GOOGL) and Amazon (AMZN), examining whether the tech giants misled advertisers on pricing and disclosures. The investigations, led by the FTC’s consumer protection unit, target the companies’ search advertising systems and auction processes, where billions of dollars in ad revenue are at stake. Regulators are particularly focused on whether Amazon properly disclosed reserve pricing and whether Google’s internal processes raised ad costs without informing clients.

For Amazon, the inquiry adds to a growing list of regulatory challenges. The company is already facing FTC lawsuits over Prime subscriptions and alleged monopolistic control of online marketplaces. In this latest case, investigators are scrutinizing how Amazon structures auctions that determine ad placement, particularly whether advertisers understood the minimum thresholds required to secure space. The agency’s concerns echo broader criticism that opaque rules in digital ad markets distort competition and limit transparency.

Market Overview:

• FTC probes Amazon and Google over ad pricing and disclosure practices

• Investigations focus on reserve pricing and hidden cost increases

• Both companies already face major lawsuits from U.S. regulators

Key Points:

• Amazon’s ad auctions under scrutiny for transparency in reserve pricing

• Google facing DOJ-led antitrust trial over dominance in ad tech

• Both trials scheduled to begin September 22

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